How much to bet?

After the flop, 3-h, 7-h, 10-h, you find that the A-h you are holding would need one more heart, in the turn or the river, to give you the nut flush. Your opponent raises the value of pot. Everyone else folds. Do you bet, do you call, or do you fold?

Here's the read, chances are, your opponent has already made the flush -- at least, that's what he is saying the way he raised pot. So you are behind. Let's assume that for the moment. Hitting another heart on the turn is a more or less 25% probability. Your opponent is asking you to pay 33% of the possible win for the chance to see that 25% turn card. That there is still the river card even if you miss the turn is immaterial at the moment, because your opponent can still raise and ask you to pay even more for the chance to see the river card.

So do you call with those numbers? That's your decision. But the odds are against you. You are betting 75 to get 50.

3 comments:

  1. Well I usually bet 10% of my allotted budget. For example 15,000,000 million I bet for the game is 150,000 thousand. there is a time where my coins down to zero So I have decided to Zynga poker chips. And its pretty cool increase my coins. So Let's Play the Game!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Well I usually bet 10% of my allotted budget. For example 15,000,000 million I bet for the game is 150,000 thousand. there is a time where my coins down to zero So I have decided to Zynga poker chips. And its pretty cool increase my coins. So Let's Play the Game!

    ReplyDelete